South Asian editor
If there have been contraindications to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs for decades, it is a third -party arbitration in a long -term dispute with Pakistan against Kashmir.
Therefore, people who know are surprised that President Donald Trump, known as his orthodox diplomacy, triggered a vivid nerve in Delhi.
On Saturday, he visited social media and announced that he agreed to India and Pakistan (a complete and immediate ceasefire that was brokerage by the United States after a four -day border conflict.
In another post, he said:
The Kashmir dispute dates back to 1947, when India is independent of British rule and divided to make Pakistan. Both neighbors claim Kashmir as a whole, but only partially.
In decades, several bilateral talks have not been determined. India treats Kashmir as an essential part of the territory, and in particular, excludes negotiations through third parties.
Recently, Flare Up killed 26 people, mainly tourists in the aftermath of the attack on Indian tourists last month after an air raid called terrorist infrastructure inside Pakistan.
India accused Pakistan’s involvement in the incident.
Trump’s intervention was threatening that the fight between the two nuclear weapons competitors would become a full -fledged conflict.
The two sides said they were using fighters, missiles, and drones and aimed at installing each other in the border.
Along with diplomatic back channels, American arbitrators failed to prevent more confusion, but President Trump’s proposal put Delhi in one place.
Former Indian Foreign Minister SHYAM SARAN told the BBC, “Obviously, India violates our stated position.”
Delhi’s position on Kashmir was particularly protested in Kashmir after withdrawing the special status of Jammu and Kashmir in 2019.
Trump’s recent opinion has led to many Indians.
The major opposition parliamentary party wanted the government’s explanation and all party meetings on the “Washington DC’s first announcement.”
Jairam Ramesh, spokesman for parliament, said, “Have we opened the door to third -party arbitration? The Indian National Assembly wants to ask if the diplomatic channel between India and Pakistan is reopened.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a ceasefire. The two countries also said, “We agreed to start a wide range of problems on neutral sites.” Surprisingly, it captured the Indians.
Delhi refused to discuss with Islamabad, accusing his neighbor’s calling for terrorism.
Historically, India opposed the third party arbitration and cited a contract signed in 1972 after the war between the two countries last year. According to the SIMLA agreement signed by state leaders, they decided to solve their differences with peaceful means through quantum negotiations.
Indian officials also argued that even though they reached their understanding with Pakistan’s private government, the powerful army of the country began to undermine such a deal. They pointed out the Kargil War in 1999. In 1999, another conflict between the two countries began after capturing strategic areas in Kashmir, which was managed by Pakistan by Pakistan.
A few months later, the dispute was a few months after the agreed to resolve the problems and to avoid interfering with each other’s internal problems through bilateral negotiations at the time.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi did not officially respond to President Trump’s proposal.
But Subra Mana Zayan Kar, Minister of Foreign Affairs, said, “India has continued to maintain a firm and uncompromising position of terrorism in all forms and expressions.
It is considered to be a sign that India may not be able to restart the direct bilateral talks.
Pakistan’s view is different.
IMTIAZ GUL, director of the research and security research center of Islamabad, said, “Pakistan wanted a third party mediation in the Kashmir issue when there was no mutual trust between the two countries.
Gul said, “Now the superpower is willing to stop the neck, and Pakistan will consider it a moral victory.
Pakistan’s strategic experts, such as Syed Muhammad Ali, argue that the international community is in a step to avoid future conflicts because it refuses to have a relationship with Pakistan in India.
“Kashmir is one of the most important issues in the international community: a recent fast escalation proves that Sabe-rattling can be touching.
Since Modi’s arbitrary diplomacy, especially Modi’s acquisition in 2014, has been regarded as a sign of trust in global economic power.
But to prevent Trump’s progress, you need to take a hard -balanced behavior.
The United States has rescued India in recent years with more arbitrary disagreements about China. India is a key member of the Quad, along with the United States, Australia and Japan, to cope with the Chinese scaltionism in the India-Pacific Ocean.
In recent decades, Washington has sold modern transportation plane, helicopters and other military equipment to Delhi and wants to modernize 1.4 million powerful troops that rely heavily on Russian weapons.
The former US administration knew India’s sensitivity to the issue of Kashmir and did not interfere much. But in Trump, there is a question mark on whether the location is still maintained.
The United States is the largest trading partner in India with quantum trade in 2024 with about $ 130 billion (£ 9.8 billion). The MODI government is currently negotiating trade with Washington to avoid tariffs.
Delhi should walk a fine line. It would be opposed to accept Trump’s proposal for mediation, to see a ceasefire destroyed in the United States, or to see “understanding” beyond the current military tension. But it is also important to maintain a favorable deal with the United States.
Attempts to expand talks about controversial issues, such as the current suspension of strong water sharing treaties and the status of Kashmir, will cause strong criticism at the domestic level, the trap that MODI knows well.
