As Scotland prepare to face Hungary in their final Group A match, Sky Sports takes a look at all the combinations that could see them reach the knockouts with just two points.
Scotland lost their opening match to Germany, but improved performance earned them a draw with Switzerland and a chance of progressing to the round of 16.
Here's how Steve Clarke's side will progress to the Euro 2024 knockout rounds.
What if Scotland loses to Hungary?
jam. If Scotland loses, they will be eliminated from Euro 2024, as they will be at the bottom of Group A and will not be able to advance to the round of 16.
If Scotland Beats Hungary
Scotland can advance directly to the Euro 2024 knockout stages as second-placed if they beat Hungary and Switzerland lose to Germany, with Scotland looking to overturn a six- or seven-goal deficit on goal difference.
For example, if Scotland wins 3-0 and Germany also wins 3-0, Scotland will finish second in scoring. The same would happen if Scotland won 4-0 and Germany won 2-0, or if Scotland won 5-0 and Germany won 1-0.
However, if Scotland win 1-0 and Switzerland lose 5-0, Switzerland will finish second in scoring. If Scotland win 2-0 and Switzerland lose 4-0, Scotland will receive the highest disciplinary action due to Ryan Porteous' red card.
Overturning the goal difference deficit to seven goals would see Scotland take second place.
Things get complicated if Switzerland takes second place and Scotland comes in third.
Scotland face a tense wait to see if four points will qualify them for a place in the knockout rounds. But history will be on their side. Since the introduction of this format, the third-place team with four points has never failed to advance to the last 16 of the Euros.
A lot will depend on how well they can beat Hungary. A big win would boost their chances enormously.
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Steve Clarke says the mental aspect of the game is huge and this is where Scotland have improved in the second round of the Euros.
If Scotland win and goal difference is still low, they will be eliminated if: four out of five The following results occurred in the two days following the Hungary match:
Monday 24 June: Albania beat Spain
Tuesday June 25th: Austria did not lose to the Netherlands
Tuesday June 25th: Slovenia beat England and Denmark, while Serbia didn't end in a draw.
Wednesday 26 June: Either Ukraine vs Belgium or Slovakia vs Romania will end in a draw.
Wednesday 26 June: Georgia beat Portugal
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John McGinn has said he hopes one of his nephews will mourn after Scotland's crucial Euro clash after confirming he has Hungarian family.
What if Scotland draws with Hungary?
It will be interesting to see Scotland draw with Hungary. Because two points could be enough for Steve Clarke's side to qualify as a third-place team.
What if Scotland draws with Hungary? two out of three What happens to qualify:
- Albania defeated by spain and croatia In Group B, they lost to Italy.
- uk beat Slovenian 4 goal difference (if the amount of goals Scotland scored against Hungary was the same as the amount of goals Slovenia scored against England) and denmark win Serbia
- Czech Republic defeated by Türkiye and georgia Group D lost to Portugal
If you are the 1st team in Group B and If a team from Group D had taken at least a point from their final group game, a draw would not be enough, with Scotland's goal difference sitting at -4.
