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Last year, historical deep freezing reduced US pear production, and Northwest cultivators are looking forward to the smallest crops in 40 years.
The cultivators have been harvested by 31% of the previous year, decreasing 31% from the five -year average. Baking Baking, which is ideal for baking and dense flesh, has suffered the worst damage and will decrease more than 60% from last year.
About 80%of the nation’s ships came from the northwest, and experts say that consumers must step on the fruit in the grocery store shelf.
Jon Devaney, chairman of the Washington State Tree Fruit Association, said, “There is still a Northwest ship crop, but it was much smaller due to the damage.
The ship that makes it is expected to be “rush”, which appears as a large brown ring around the fruit damaged by frost. The taste is the same, but the appearance can be corrupt to the buyer.
Devaney said, “Consumers eat with their eyes before and other than anything else. “If it doesn’t look attractive in the store (fruit), it will not be sold at all or will not be sold at a discount that cannot be paid for the planter to harvest.”
This problem may worsen over the next few years. Studies show that fruits are sensitive to the risk of severe rainfall and temperature, so that the production of pear is especially vulnerable to climate change.
Another problem of stakeholders is watching that the ship’s flowering time occurred about 11 days ago compared to the study of the UK’s Agricultural Environment Research Center due to changes in temperature compared to historical data about 11 days before the past 30 years. no see. Established Devaney said, “It can cause all kinds of terraced management problems beyond the short -term danger of actual physical damage,” said Devaney, Devaney said.
Devaney said, “We know that growers are trying to see and prepare the weather very carefully, but they are used to knowing exactly when the spring weather begins, but many people are now switching to research communities for technology solutions. Increasingly unpredictable weather conditions.
For example, Washington State University places more than 160 weather observation stations throughout the state to provide the current weather data and short -term predictions and make the decision in a timely manner. In addition, the university collaborates with AI in data modeling to create better long -term predictions of expanded predictions and provides more options and greater warnings for tree fruit growers to implement protection measures.
However, additional hope is arriving in the current weather conditions and Devaney calling “intuition”. NOAA was expected to be more colder than usual in early 2025, threatening to repeat the miserable results of 2024. But the weather is wet than usual, but it’s warm so far, but it’s usually good for belly.
“It is a little early to make a fairly important prediction this year. Smaller crops, usually next year, we expect that crops will rebound because crops can have greater crops whenever we have greater crops, ”Devaney said.
